Polymarket, a CFTC regulated exchange, is now available right inside the Betr app. With Predictions powered by Polymarket on Betr, you can trade on the outcome of future events, from sports results to political elections to entertainment awards, without ever leaving Betr.
A prediction market is a platform where people trade shares based on what they think will happen. By buying and selling shares in an outcome, participants collectively forecast how likely an event is to occur.
How it works
Market prices = probabilities. The price of a share on Polymarket represents the current probability of an event happening. If a share is trading at 20 cents, the market is saying there's a 20% chance that event occurs.
Making predictions
If you believe the real probability of an event is higher than what the market price suggests, you can buy shares. For example, if you think a team actually has better than a 20% chance of winning, you'd buy shares at 20 cents. If the event happens, each share is worth $1, and you profit on the difference.
Free-market trading
On Predictions via Betr, you can buy or sell your shares at any time before an event concludes, adjusting your position as new information comes in or circumstances change. This flexibility keeps prices continuously updated to reflect the most current, accurate probabilities.
Why you can trust the markets
Prediction markets are built to deliver unbiased, real-time probabilities that cut through media noise and human bias. Where traditional sources can carry their own incentives or slant, prediction markets run on a simple principle: put your money where your mouth is. Every participant is financially motivated to be accurate, because their profits depend on it.
Prices on Predictions powered by Polymarket reflect the aggregated sentiment of everyone trading, weighing news, data, expert opinion, and public sentiment to arrive at the true odds. Unlike a media narrative that can be shaped by bias, a prediction market gives you a transparent, real-time view of where people genuinely believe things are headed.
Why use prediction markets?
Prediction markets consistently outperform traditional polls and expert forecasts. The collective wisdom of a large, diverse group of participants, each motivated by potential profit, produces highly reliable forecasts. That makes prediction markets one of the best tools available for gauging real-time probability on just about anything.
With Polymarket now built into Betr, you get direct access to the world's largest prediction market on a wide range of topics, from sports to politics, all from within the Betr app. Trade on your knowledge, and help sharpen the accuracy of the market for everyone else doing the same.